Transformer Sector to Reach $57.8 Billion by 2030; Stocks to Watch
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Transformer Sector to Reach $57.8 Billion by 2030; Stocks to Watch
The transformer sector in India stands at a critical juncture. As global energy transitions accelerate, can Indian manufacturers seize the opportunity? April 2024 saw mixed fortunes for transformer companies. Industry leaders like ABB and Siemens reported robust orderbooks, driven by renewable energy projects.
However, smaller players grappled with raw material price volatility. The month they highlighted an increased focus on smart grid technologies and energy-efficient designs. Government initiatives to boost domestic manufacturing garnered attention.
What is a Power Transformer?
Power transformers are electrical devices that transfer power between circuits without changing the frequency. Their functions are based on the principle of electromagnetic induction. They work in the electrical power transmission process between generators and main distribution circuits.
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Types of Power Transformers(Based on Technology)
Core-type Transformers: These have windings surrounding a laminated core. They’re efficient and commonly used in power distribution. The core is typically made of silicon steel laminations to reduce eddy current losses.
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Shell-type Transformers: In these, the core surrounds the windings. They offer better mechanical strength and are often used for high-voltage applications. Shell-type transformers are more resistant to short-circuit forces.
Auto-transformers: These use a single winding for both primary and secondary circuits as they’re more compact and efficient than two-winding transformers but offer less electrical isolation. Often used in power systems for voltage regulation.
Three-phase Transformers: Designed for three-phase power systems, these combine three single-phase transformers in one unit. They’re more efficient and compact than three separate single-phase units, making them ideal for large power transmission applications.
Oil-immersed Transformers: These use oil for insulation and cooling. The oil helps dissipate heat and provides excellent insulation properties. They’re commonly used in outdoor substations and can handle high voltages efficiently.
Industry Outlook Of Transformer Sector
The transformer market is estimated to develop at a CAGR of 4.7% between 2024 and 2030, reaching USD 57.8 billion. One of the primary drivers of the power transformer market is the global increase in power demand. The rising global energy consumption caused by urbanization, industrialization, and population growth is a primary driver of the power transformer market.
Globally, improvements to outdated transmission and distribution infrastructure will need the adoption of transformers with enhanced features, such as higher voltage and current handling capacities, to manage increased power flows.
Growth Factors
- Electrification push: India aims for 100% household electrification, boosting demand for distribution transformers.
- Renewable energy targets: India plans 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, requiring new transmission infrastructure.
- Smart grid initiatives: The National Smart Grid Mission is driving adoption of advanced transformer technologies.
- T&D loss reduction: Government focus on reducing transmission losses (currently around 20%) necessitates transformer upgrades.
- Industrial growth: Make in India initiative and industrial corridors are increasing power demand from manufacturing sectors.
- Rural electrification: Ongoing programs like Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) continue to expand grid access in rural areas.
- EV infrastructure: India’s EV30@30 campaign aims for 30% electric vehicle sales by 2030, driving demand for charging infrastructure.
- Grid modernization: Upgrading aging infrastructure to improve reliability and efficiency is a priority for state utilities.
Challenges
- Raw material volatility: Fluctuating prices of copper, steel, and electrical steel impact production costs and margins.
- Competition: Intense price competition from domestic and international players squeezes profit margins.
- Quality issues: Substandard products from unorganized sector players affect industry reputation and reliability.
- Skilled workforce shortage: Lack of specialized technical expertise in design and manufacturing hampers innovation.
- Delayed payments: Extended payment cycles from state utilities strain working capital for manufacturers.
- Technology adoption: Keeping pace with rapid technological advancements in smart and green transformers requires significant investment.
- Import dependence: Reliance on imported core materials and components makes the sector vulnerable to global supply chain disruptions.
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Future Outlook Of The Transformer Sector
Power transformer technology appears to have a bright future thanks to developments in digital monitoring systems, smart grid technology, and renewable energy integration. The main areas of concentration will be increased grid resilience, decreased losses, and increased efficiency.
In the future, material advances such as superconductors will result in transformers that are lighter and more efficient. Furthermore, the increasing requirement for decentralized energy systems and electric vehicles will increase the demand for sophisticated transformer solutions, guaranteeing a reliable and sustainable energy infrastructure.
List Of Transformer Stocks
Kirloskar Electric Company: Established in 1946, is an electrical engineering company that produces AC Motors, DC Motors, Transformers, Switchgear, and Electronics. It caters to core sectors like power generation, transmission and distribution, transportation, renewable energy, sugar, steel, cement, and allied industries.
Bharat Heavy Electrical: The primary economic sectors served by Bharat Heavy Electrical Limited are power, transmission, industry, transportation, renewable energy, oil and gas, and defense. The company is also involved in the design, engineering, manufacturing, erection, testing, commissioning, and servicing of a wide range of products and services. It is the flagship engineering and manufacturing company of India owned and controlled by the Govt. of India.
Siemens: A diversified technology company focusing on electrification, automation, and digitalization. In India, it provides solutions for power generation, smart infrastructure, and industrial automation. With over 9,000 employees and 22 factories, Siemens offers a wide range of products and services for the energy, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors.
ABB India: Specializes in electrification products, robotics, industrial automation, and power grids. Employing around 8,000 people across 10 manufacturing locations, ABB serves utilities, industries, and infrastructure sectors. Its offerings range from power distribution systems to industrial robots and electric vehicle charging solutions
Key Metrics Of Transformer Stocks
Conclusion
The Indian power transformer business is at a critical juncture, with electrification measures, renewable energy ambitions, and grid modernization activities all driving substantial growth. While the industry faces issues such as raw material volatility and competition, the future picture is positive. Smart grid technology, digital monitoring, and energy efficiency are transforming the landscape.
Key businesses such as BHEL, Siemens, ABB, and Kirloskar are well-positioned to seize on these prospects. To fully reach its potential, the sector must solve skilled labor shortages, quality difficulties, and technological adoption. With targeted investments and supporting legislation, India’s transformer industry can play a critical role in the country’s energy transition.
Written By Dipangshu Kundu
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